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Post-Attack Assessment of Shahid Meysami Research Center
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Post-Attack Assessment of the First 12 Days of Israeli and U.S. Strikes on Iranian Nuclear Facilities
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Post-Attack Analysis of Israel’s June 12/13 Military Attack on Iran’s Nuclear Program
On the night of June 12/13, 2025, Israel initiated a large-scale military attack on Iran’s nuclear program under the name “Operation Rising Lion.”...
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Satellite imagery taken by @Maxar today show ongoing work at the MOP impact points of the Fordow Enrichment Plant and progress in clearing access to the eastern tunnel entrance portal. As of July 1, Iran has sufficiently cleared the surroundings of the eastern tunnel portal to gain vehicle access to the entrance portal, although the extent of access inside the tunnel is unclear. At this eastern tunnel entrance portal, the entrance building had been destroyed and a bomb crater was previously visible above the tunnel entrance. Dump trucks likely used for hauling away debris were still visible yesterday.
At ventilation shaft #2 (per DOD schematic), Iran has used the large crane to offload the materials necessary to provide temporary cover over the shafts and erect a safety barrier (the crane boom is up, with a clear shadow visible, and various materials are scattered around the shaft area).
Iran also created a new makeshift access road to ventilation shaft site #1 from the south perimeter road where various vehicles, including one possible transporter, are present. Newly as of today, the ventilation shaft #1 is also covered, however, it looks like this is a temporary fix. It appears that the bulldozer has pushed earthen material down over the edge of the large encompassing crater lip into the ventilation shaft holes previously created by the bombing. Given the lack of mechanized equipment tracking next to the holes and all of the other unidentified activity near the holes, it is possible that they just have temporarily covered the holes such that earthworks can be conducted around the shaft openings without material and personnel falling into the shafts in the hope that the shafts can be reworked at some point in the future. Another, albeit less likely possibility given the depth of the shafts, is that the holes have been backfilled.
Overall, ventilation is critical to any future underground operations, so if Iran were ever to try to renew operations they would have to rebuild the shafts and associated infrastructure along with any other repairs required post attack. The shafts could be rebuilt in their current positions, or new ventilation shafts could be constructed in a different configuration, although this may take significantly more time to accomplish.
Right now the site is likely just undergoing damage assessment, which will soon be followed by recovery operations to access any salvageable equipment and materials and depending on the extent of damage, possibly also cleanup and repair. We will continue to monitor the situation and gain more insights as time goes on.
Analysis by @DAVIDHALBRIGHT1, @SarahBurkhard, @SFnuclear, and the Good ISIS Team.
Link to full tweet with graphics here.